Getting the measure of extinction
- PMID: 12348876
Getting the measure of extinction
Abstract
PIP: Like all species, plants, mammals, and birds have been subject to extinction as a fundamental part of evolution. Indeed, only about 2-4% of all the species that have ever lived during the 600 million years of the fossil record still survive today. Looking at the fossil record, it can be said that invertebrate species and mammals have had an average life span of 5-10 and 1-2 million years, respectively. More recent extinction records for birds and mammals lost over the last half of the century indicate that 1 out of 14,000 species becomes extinct each year, giving each species an average life span of 10,000 years--100 to 1000 times shorter than the lifetime of species in the fossil record. Drawing on the World's Conservation Union Red List of threatened animals (1996), species lifetimes of birds, mammals and reptiles are estimated at 300-500 years and 100-1000 years across broader groups. In general, these estimates show that extinction rates today are 1000 to 10,000 times higher than in the past, making current rates of species loss at least equivalent to the mass extinctions in the past. A major difference, however, is the fact that almost all extinctions that have transpired today are due to the impact of human activities.
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